Globalisation is reshaping the world economy, profoundly affecting consumers, shareholders, employers, employees and organisations. Significantly, globalisation generates new ideas and promotes innovation, with a rich exchange of ideas. Great innovations and good ideas have no respect for national boundaries – good business ideas often transcend different cultures and geography. Author, Jeremy Kourdi, highlights some of the lessons for innovators arising from globalisation and the rise of emerging economies.
One of the greatest changes in human history has taken place without many of us even noticing: unparalleled demographic change during the twentieth century, with startling statistics.
Global population nearly quadrupled (from 1.6bn in 1900 to 6.1bn in 2000), while the shortest time for the global population to double occurred between the administrations of US Presidents Kennedy and Clinton. In 2007, six-and-a-half days of Indias population growth equalled one year of population growth in the EU. This was combined with unprecedented declines in mortality and fertility, significant international migration and increased urbanisation resulting in the emergence of mega-cities.
The fastest growing populations are in India, China, Pakistan, Nigeria, Indonesia and Bangladesh. In 2006, for the first time, global urban population exceeded global rural population*. This movement to cities, like much demographic change, is altering behaviour and expectations. Finally, populations will be older, with long-term implications for welfare policies, pensions, taxation, employment and spending.
Clearly these demographic developments are changing the world and bringing opportunities. For example, HSBC bank was the first to recognise that immigrants in the UK had specific banking needs (e.g. foreign language and repatriating funds from overseas) and circumstances (no banking history in the UK) and offered products tailored to suit this market.
The questions to ask are: what are the trends? Where are the opportunities and threats? Who are your customers now, and who will they be in the future?
Use technology to achieve breakthrough growth
In Western economies, established businesses often struggle to achieve industry-leading growth rates because their sector is mature, or highly competitive, or because they become stuck in the rut of 'incrementalism'. Firms become convinced that they need to compete in the same way as their rivals: minimising risk, maximising resources and making acceptable returns. In emerging economies the approach is different: successful local firms fundamentally re-conceive what drives their profits, they build a better business model and achieve breakthrough growth.
For example, when Estonia emerged from Soviet rule and established their retail banking industry in the 1990s they went from a Soviet system to a new model emphasising telephone and internet banking with credit and debit cards. This largely bypassed the branch networks and cheque books that had characterised the development of banking in the West.
Also, Cemex based in Monterrey, Mexico became one of the largest cement companies in the world through a radical reassessment of the factors driving profitability outperforming its international rivals, Holcim and LaFarge, in share price, operating margins and return on assets. Cemex moved from selling concrete by the yard to selling timely delivery of a commodity. Delivery was what mattered to customers: getting the right amount, in the right place at the right time, without workers waiting or the concrete spoiling. Using methods employed by Federal Express, Cemex developed digital technology to manage its trucks. Now, Cemex uses GPS technology to guarantee delivery of ready-mix cement within a 20-minute window.
Such success requires a proactive approach, developing new ways of serving customers and ensuring efficient operations.
Develop audacity
"As South Africans, we werent really frightened of emerging markets compared to the things that we were going through at home," commented Graham McKay, CEO of SABMiller (formerly South African Breweries). Difficult trading conditions instilled determination and resilience in managers at SABMiller, one of the worlds largest brewers. Having built SAB in their domestic market they wanted to compete internationally following the end of apartheid. They were ingenious, flexible, determined and prepared not to follow convention. For example, SAB entered markets that (from the mid-1990s) were unfashionable in Latin America, China and Central Europe. Although these developing economies represent attractive growth markets now, SABs culture of taking on challenges meant they were there first and achieved considerable success.
SABMillers boldness helped it become a global giant in little over 10 years and this audacity can be developed with several techniques. First, find the dangerous edge, the point where the greatest risks lie [1], this will increase your confidence and ability to avoid disaster. Next, build a supportive team and be specific about what will happen in any situation. Start by accepting and explaining the risk but finish by emphasising strengths and visualising success. It is important to build confidence in stages and to develop ancillary skills this also builds confidence, especially in complex situations. Above all, recognise that moving into a 'danger zone' has positive psychological benefits, including heightened awareness and concentration.
Target the fortune at the bottom of the pyramid (BOP)
1. Some markets (e.g. China, India, Brazil) are so attractive that, with the right products and services, they could provide explosive growth
2. Local innovations can be taken to other BOP and developed markets, creating global opportunities
3. Lessons from BOP markets influence and enhance the management practices of global firms. When people return from emerging markets their outlook and approach invariably changes it improves
Professor CK Prahalad of the University of Michigan argues that there is a 'poverty penalty' where the poorest people pay more for everything because they dont have a choice: they are stuck with local monopolies and bad products and services. As a result, if a company goes to the bottom of the wealth pyramid and builds affordable products, creates awareness and provides access, then the market is phenomenal.
Research recently highlighted by the World Resources Institute shows that the worlds 4 billion poorest people represent a USD 5tn market opportunity. There are several other issues at the bottom of the pyramid.
Companies that ignore emerging markets will get left behind and will have 10 years, at best, before businesses from emerging markets start competing with them.
* Source: UN Centre for Migration Studies
Jeremy Kourdi is the author of '100 Great Business Ideas' published by Marshall Cavendish.
Links:
[1] http://www.financeweek.co.uk/item/6133
[2] http://www.financeweek.co.uk/item/6081